This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:

https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest

It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:

https://forms.gle/Zh6vvRw2YgdYSdgV6

• Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Expressions by broadcasters such as "questioning" or "concern" regarding Israel's participation are not currently considered sufficient to meet the threshold of formal opposition. A stronger action is required.

• Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * Slovenia's broadcaster is confirmed to have formally opposed Israel's participation before the contest started.

  • This confirms that a mechanism exists for a national broadcaster to formally oppose participation.

  • The panel of judges for the underlying contest is currently evaluating whether actions by broadcasters from Spain, Iceland, Malta, and potentially others constitute formal opposition or fall short of that standard. The creator will report the judges' ruling.

• Update 2025-05-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on the judges' ruling for the underlying contest:

  • The following actions do not meet the condition of formal opposition by a broadcaster:

  • A discussion request (example: Spain).

  • A message from a foreign minister (example: Iceland).

  • An exclusion demand from a Member of European Parliament (MEP) (example: Malta).

  • Actions by entities other than the national broadcaster (such as government ministers or MEPs) do not count towards the total.

  • The actions by Slovenia's broadcaster are confirmed to meet the condition of formal opposition.

  • The current count stands at 1 out of the required 3 broadcasters.