Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) officially announces that Israel is banned or suspended from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest prior to the commencement of the 2027 Grand Final. It resolves to NO if Israel remains eligible to compete in the 2027 contest or if no such ban/suspension is announced before the final event.

The primary source of resolution will be official statements released by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or the official Eurovision Song Contest website. If the EBU issues a statement regarding Israel's participation status, that determination will be final.

Background

The Eurovision Song Contest has faced significant political pressure regarding participant eligibility in recent years. Israel's participation in the 2024 contest was the subject of intense debate and protests amidst the ongoing conflict in Gaza. While the EBU ultimately permitted Israel to compete in 2024, the organization frequently evaluates its membership criteria and the eligibility of participating national broadcasters. This market tracks whether the EBU will impose a formal ban on Israel specifically in the lead-up to the 2027 edition of the contest.

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