This market resolves YES if I have 3000 or more mana in my Manifold Markets account by 11:59 PM PT on October 17, 2025.
Context: Mana can be earned by making correct predictions, successful trades, creating popular markets, completing quests, referring friends or completing bounties. Daily prediction streaks give a reward of M5, increasing by M5 increments for consecutive days up to a maximum of M25 per day.
Resolution: I will check my mana balance on my Manifold profile page at https://manifold.markets/[username] on October 17, 2025. The market resolves YES if my total mana is 3000 or higher, NO otherwise.
Edge cases: If my account is suspended or deleted, this resolves NO. Mana from any source counts toward the total.
Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on net worth (total mana balance including invested positions), not just liquid mana.
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน95 | |
| 2 | แน27 |
People are also trading
@Jasonb hmm since https://manifold.markets/Adam7/5-traders-join-this-market-in-the-n?r=WmFuZGFaaHU this market was misresolved, shouldn't this market not resolve yet?
@ZandaZhu Perhaps, though I think the "by" in the title and description means this one resolved ok. I could see an argument that technically the resolution part of the market implies it should be on the 17th, but this might've been written by the AI and not checked.