Resolution criteria

• Resolves YES if at any moment up to 00:00 UTC on November 1, 2025, my Manifold profile “balance” (liquid Mana) is at least Ṁ3,000, as shown on my profile header or in my Balance log. Otherwise NO. Evidence: I’ll provide a timestamped screenshot and/or link to my profile/Balance log for verification. The “balance” counter and Balance log are the sources of truth; “net worth” or “invested” do not count. (manifold.markets)

Background

• Mana (Ṁ) is Manifold’s play-money used for trading and creating markets; it is not cash-convertible. (docs.manifold.markets)

• User profiles display separate counters for net worth, balance (liquid), invested, and profit, plus a Balance log tab that shows changes over time. (manifold.markets)

Considerations

• Any source of Mana that increases my balance counts (trading profits, gifts/transfers, bounties, refunds, site bonuses/loans), since only the displayed “balance” matters. Profile balance needs to hit Ṁ3,000 at least once before the deadline; later dips don’t affect a YES. (manifold.markets)