What will be my all-time mana profit (in thousands) at the end of each month in 2025?
39%
May ๐Ÿ’ˆ
41%
June โ˜€๏ธ
44%
July ๐Ÿ—ฝ
46%
August ๐Ÿ–๏ธ
48%
September ๐Ÿซ
49%
October ๐ŸŽƒ
51%
November ๐Ÿ”ฅ
53%
December ๐ŸŽ„

End of the month here means precisely 23:59 UTC of the last calendar day of said month.

If my all-time mana profit is somehow negative then said option resolves to 0%, and similarly if it is somehow greater than 100,000 then said option resolves to 100%.

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April can resolve to 38%, I think. ๐Ÿ˜Š

@4fa yep you're right ๐Ÿ‘

Nice new username btw

@TheAllMemeingEye Thanks!


JK, I came up with it today or yesterday. ๐Ÿ˜‚

@4fa plot twist, it's actually referring to the Japanese rice wine owned by someone called Fold

@TheAllMemeingEye Ah! Fลrudo no sake no tame ni!

@4fa ใฏใฏใ€ใ„ใŸ ใ‚‹ใใ™ ใ‚‰ใ„ใ ใ‚ใ‚“ ใ‚ใต ใ†ใ™ ใชใ†ใ™ ใง ใ‚ใ ใ™ ใถใŸ ใฎใŸ ใง ใ‚‰ใ„ใกใ‚“ ใ—ใ™ใฆใ‚€ใ€ใ‚ใฌใ  ใง ใ†ใตใ ใชใ†ใ™ ใง ใ‚‰ใ„ใกใ‚“ ใ—ใ™ใฆใ‚€ ใถใŸ ใฎใŸ ใง ใ‚ใ ใ™ ^^

[haha, ita rukusu raiku wan afu usu nausu de wadasu buta nota de raichin shisutemu, anuda de ufua nausu de raichin shisutemu buta nota de wadasu :) ]

@TheAllMemeingEye Ai yลซsudo Gลซguru Toransurฤ“to. ๐Ÿ˜ I also know more kana than words, probably. ๐Ÿ˜…

It has occurred to me that the mostly linear profit growth and small liquidity split among many options may be significantly reducing the appeal of this market, for which I apologise

@TheAllMemeingEye My frequent betting might have made it less interesting for others as well. ๐Ÿค”

opened a แน€2 NO at 54% order

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess making numeric markets for individual months and/or date markets for individual milestones might indeed be more appealing.

@4fa possibly, I may try that at some point

@TheAllMemeingEye Your profit is impressively consistent. Have you thought about making more aggressive bets?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 thanks haha, I take pride in my profit graph being as smooth as my brain ๐Ÿง 

Am I out of touch with reality and limiting my growth by never betting more than a few tens of mana per bet (unless I have total certainty, or at the very least something more logically grounded than an intuitive hunch, which I rarely do due to my extremely limited knowledge), because I'm compulsively sticking to the heuristic of "never bet more than you're willing to lose" (due to fear of developing a life ruining gambling addiction), while failing to increase risk tolerance with increasing balance as I probably should, possibly out of habitual momentum? No, it's the other users who are wrong, for not posting enough markets in the handful of areas where I have any relevant knowledge /s

In all seriousness, yeah I probably should try to fix my mentality, but so far I have been mentally stuck in this trap

@TheAllMemeingEye Lol, it's not my place to tell you how to bet. Do whatever makes you happy! ๐Ÿ˜Š

It is more entertaining to watch someone throw mana around like Tumbles, but overall the world would probably be better off with fewer agents of chaos, especially recently...

opened a แน€2 NO at 35% order

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess March resolves to 35%, right? ๐Ÿ˜

@4fa I think technically it rounds closer to 36% but pretty much, thanks :)

@TheAllMemeingEye Oh, right, I must have misread โ€“ or it changed that much in the last twenty minutes. :-D

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess February resolves to 33%, right? :-)

@4fa you're right, thanks for the reminder :)

For context, my profit graph as of 5 Feb

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