Resolves "YES" if the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season meets a majority of the following criteria:

(1) Total economic damage estimate of at least $295 billion
(2) At least 17 named storms
(3) At least 10 hurricanes
(4) At least 6 major hurricanes
(5) At least 2 category 5 hurricanes
(6) At least 3,000 estimated deaths
(7) At least 224 units of Accumulated Cyclone Energy

Only storms occurring during hurricane season (June 1 - November 30) will count towards the total. Resolution may take into account reporting/estimates that become public after November 30 if necessary, as long as the reporting is of events occurring during hurricane season.

2017 was the costliest hurricane season on record thus far. In 2025, NOAA forecasts an "above normal" hurricane season (https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season).

• Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the total economic damage estimate, priority will be given to official sources (NCEI, NWS, NOAA), followed by credible nonprofits or insurer/reinsurer estimates.

  • If the damage estimate is the deciding factor for the market's outcome and plausible estimates are ambiguous around the $295 billion threshold, the market may resolve to a percentage.

  • The estimated deaths criterion includes all human deaths in any geographic location resulting from named storms during the 2025 hurricane season. Deaths from long-term indirect health impacts are excluded.