How many hurricanes will there be in the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
13
1kṀ11k
Nov 30
-2.8 hurricanes
expected
1%
Above 6
1%
Above 9
1%
Above 12
Resolved
YES
Above 0
Resolved
YES
Above 3

How many hurricanes will there be in the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

  • Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the total number of hurricanes recorded for the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season as of November 30, 2025 (the market's close date, interpreted as the "end of the season").

    • Hurricanes occurring or first identified as such after this date (e.g., in December) will not count towards the total.

Hurricanes
Natural Disasters
Weather
2025 Hurricane Season
Tropical Storms
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7.5+
?

@ChristopherRandles Unfortunately, for this type of market it's not possible to add more buckets at this point.

To confirm, as unlikely as it is to happen, a December hurricane would not count towards the market?

@MickBransfield That’s correct, this resolved as of the total at the end of the season

A summary infographic showing hurricane season probability and numbers of named storms predicted according to NOAA's 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook.

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