Which 2025 tropical cyclone names will be used for hurricanes? That is, many or all of these names will be used for tropical cyclones, which of those will become hurricanes?
This is specifically about the northern Atlantic hurricane season.
Update 2025-05-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will be the definitive source for determining if a tropical cyclone became a hurricane.
Update 2025-09-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Each listed name resolves to YES if it becomes a hurricane per the NHC; otherwise NO.
If a name is not used for any tropical storm in the 2025 North Atlantic season, it resolves NO (not N/A).
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>"Which 2025 tropical cyclone names will be used for hurricanes? That is, many or all of these names will be used for tropical cyclones, which of those will become hurricanes?"
If a name isn't used for a tropical storm, does it resolve no or N/A?
(It isn't clear whether 'those' refers to the names or to the tropical storms. If those refers to names then it should resolve no but if it refers to tropical storms then it isn't clear.)
@ChristopherRandles Good question, I agree that the phrasing isn't clear. How I originally intended it was that names will just resolve YES or NO. I believe the original intention of that phrasing was for if I misspelled any of the names. 😅
To confirm - if a name is not used for a tropical storm in the 2025 Hurricane Season, it resolves NO.
Google's tracks until 06Z showed a cat 1 likely but with the 12Z and 18Z runs they seem to have dropped off a cliff and are near 40% now (with genesis chances into a TS still much higher than other ensembles).
The 18Z run shows genesis slightly N or NE of earlier runs, leaving it less time to develop over the exceptionally high SSTs and there is less spread to the NW later on where some of the more westward members were recurving over higher OHC.
06Z:
18Z:
Some disagreement about how sharply it will recurve (Google is the early, more easterly one, EPS has some spread covering both, but favors a track that reaches further west before recurving)...
Andrea has dissipated to remnant low. Only a tropical storm
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/al01/al012025.discus.003.shtml
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/ANDREA.shtml?
