Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.
Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade. Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.
To stay in line with the new league rules (https://manifold.markets/post/leagues-market-creator-updates#qh22z9Cq), I will no longer make any trades in markets that I created. (sps - 2025/09/03)
1,000People are also trading
Imelda extratropical. Highest sustained winds 85 Kt = Cat 2
https://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index.php?loc=northatlantic
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT5+shtml/161520.shtml
...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND ERIN IS NOW A
CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
Dexter never became a hurricane so can also resolve.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/
@ovals
Still waiting for Dexter to wind down as Erin becomes a Category 1