On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2025 Atlantic season storms reach?
10
8.6kṀ18kNov 30
27%
Will Dexter reach Category 1 wind speeds?
9%
Will Dexter reach Category 2 wind speeds?
3%
Will Dexter reach Category 3 wind speeds?
3%
Will Dexter reach Category 4 wind speeds?
1.8%
Will Dexter reach Category 5 wind speeds?
53%
Will Erin reach Category 1 wind speeds?
27%
Will Erin reach Category 2 wind speeds?
22%
Will Erin reach Category 3 wind speeds?
11%
Will Erin reach Category 4 wind speeds?
5%
Will Erin reach Category 5 wind speeds?
55%
Will Fernand reach Category 1 wind speeds?
31%
Will Fernand reach Category 2 wind speeds?
20%
Will Fernand reach Category 3 wind speeds?
11%
Will Fernand reach Category 4 wind speeds?
5%
Will Fernand reach Category 5 wind speeds?
55%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 1 wind speeds?
37%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 2 wind speeds?
31%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 3 wind speeds?
26%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 4 wind speeds?
16%
Will Gabrielle reach Category 5 wind speeds?
Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.
Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade. Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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