IF in 2030, atmospheric CO2 is 440-445 ppm, what will be the global temperature anomaly in 2030?
6
370Ṁ1402030
1.2
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Annual CO2 level from https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/data.html will be taken as fact -- in 2021 this was 416.45 ppm.
Temperature anomaly (annual average) (base period 1951-80) from NASA Goddard GISTEMP (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt; stable link: https://www.co2.earth/global-warming-update) will be taken as fact -- in 2021 this was 0.84.
If atmospheric CO2 is not in this range in 2030, this market will resolve N/A.
Nov 7, 6:31pm: IF in 2030, atmospheric CO2 is >440 ppm, what will be the global temperature anomaly in 2030? → IF in 2030, atmospheric CO2 is 440-445 ppm, what will be the global temperature anomaly in 2030?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
will 2030 be hotter than 2023?
77% chance
IF in 2030, atmospheric CO2 is 435-440 ppm, what will be the global temperature anomaly in 2030?
1.2
Global CO2 emissions in 2050 (excluding land use)?
26.6
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 450 ppm in 2030?
34% chance
What will be the annual mean CO2 level in 2030?
438
Global temperature anomaly in 2050
1.9
By 2050, how many degrees (C°) of global warming will there be relative to the 1851-1900 baseline?
Atmospheric CO2 level in 2100
Will global temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2030?
90% chance
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 500 ppm in 2050?
34% chance