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What will happen with regard to the seating of the new congress? [Add Answers] (Please ensure you read the rules)
0
Ṁ1k
2027
50%
The list of representatives-elect prepared by the clerk of the House at the start of the new Congress contains 435 names
50%
Kevin F. McCumber is the Clerk of the House of Representatives when the House is called to order at the beginning of the 120th Congress
50%
There is a constitutional challenge to the authority of the Clerk of the House to make the roll of members-elect
50%
The House seats, without qualification or reservation, someone other than the person certified by the state as the representative for that seat
50%
At least one member is directed to stand aside and not take the oath with the rest of the House due to a challenge to their right to take the oath
50%
In the first meeting of the new Senate, the chair lays all 35 certificates of election before the Senate
50%
At least one senator is asked to step aside and not take the oath with the rest of the senators
50%
During the first day of the new Senate, a resolution is introduced attempting to declare someone not entitled to a seat in the Senate
50%
A question of the right of a senator to their seat is referred to a committee
50%
An injunction or order issued by a federal court preventing a state from certifying an election (or sending such a certification to Congress) is in place when the 120th Congress is gaveled into session

What will happen when it comes to the seating of the 120th Congress? The rules for specific markets are in the comments.

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Should there be a dispute, the rules in the comments or those that have been otherwise provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all be-all, and all traders should look at the rules. Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments. In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.

I will issue a full analysis of my reasoning for resolving a market within 24 hours after I resolve it. If you are dissatisfied with a resolution, please wait for the full analysis, and then leave a comment or message me before leaving a bad review of my resolution.

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On Adding Answers:

  1. I reserve the right to N/A any answer that is not in keeping with the spirit of this market

  2. Answers must have clear criteria for resolving (that I will help the creator write)

  3. No meta markets will be allowed (e.g., more than 10 answers resolved to "yes")

  4. I will remain the decision-maker on the resolution of all markets. Any statement to the contrary in a market title will be removed.

  5. If an answer is added after that answer has already satisfied the criteria to resolve "Yes" or "No" that answer will resolve N/A

I will message the creator of a market that I do not believe conforms with rule number two on adding answers (that all answers must have clear criteria for resolving) and they will have 24 hours to provide a clear criteria for resolving (I will help create criteria) or else their submission will be N/A'ed. If there is a market that is possibly subject to N/A I will make that clear once I give the 24 hour notice to the creator of the market.

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Liquidity Statement:

Every time a user adds Ṁ500 or more, I will match that additional liquidity unless I lack the funds to reasonably do so.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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@AaronSimansky This market will resolve "Yes" if an injunction or order of a federal court preventing a state from certifying an election or sending a certificate of election to Congress is in place when the 120th Congress is gaveled into session. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

@AaronSimansky This market will resolve "Yes" if the question of a person's rights to a seat in the Senate is referred to a committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

@AaronSimansky This market will resolve "Yes" if, on the first day of the new Senate, a resolution is introduced that declares someone not entitled to a seat in the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

@AaronSimansky This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one Senator is asked not to take the oath when they normally would. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No"

@AaronSimansky This market resolves "Yes" if the chair announces that they are laying 35 certificates of election before the Senate in the first meeting of the Senate. Otherwise, this market resolves "No"

@AaronSimansky This market resolves "Yes" if a member is directed not to take the oath with the rest of the House due to some challenge to their right to take the oath. Otherwise, it will resolve "No". This resolves "Yes" if a member is ordered not to take the oath with the rest of the House even if they eventually end up taking the oath with the rest of the House.

@AaronSimansky This market will resolve "Yes" if someone other than the person certified as elected to a seat in the House of Representatives under the laws of the state they represent is seated and no challenge of any kind to their ability to sit in the House is filed for a week after they are seated. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

@AaronSimansky The market will resolve "Yes" if a lawsuit is filed, before a speaker is elected, that alleges that 2 U.S.C. § 26 is unconstitutional insofar as it allows the clerk of the House to make a roll of members-elect to be seated. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

@AaronSimansky The resolves to "Yes" if Kevin F. McCumber is the clerk of the House when it is called to order at the beginning of the 120th Congress; otherwise (even if no one is clerk), it will resolve to "No".

@AaronSimansky This market will be resolved based on how many names the clerk says are on the list. If the clerk does not say how many names are on the list the number of names called will be used.

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