Will a large-scale solar geoengineering project be implemented by 2035?
Basic
7
Ṁ902036
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at least one geoengineering project has been undertaken, and it is widely agreed to have impacted global temperatures. Resolves NO if no such consensus exists.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will solar geoengineering techniques be deployed at any significant scale by 2030? [details in description]
59% chance
Will the U.S. attempt a large scale Solar Radiation Modification geoengineering project before 2030?
27% chance
Will a major geoengineering project be approved and implemented before 2025?
11% chance
When will a large-scale geoengineering intervention cause an international dispute?
Will 2024 be the first year that we start large scale Geoengineering?
13% chance
Will we deploy large geoengineering efforts to thwart a runaway global warming before 2030?
20% chance
Will there be a functional space-based solar power plant before 2045?
42% chance
Will an individual or governmental entity conduct a geoengineering project to lower global temperatures by 2030?
Will Earth have space-based solar power at scale by 2060?
27% chance
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?
45% chance