Will someone actually “dim the sun” by 2035?
14
1kṀ4152035
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Ben James proposes in his recent article “Someone is going to dim the sun, and it will be soon.” that either a desperate nation state or a wealthy individual will use Sulfur or another component for “Solar Radiation Management (SRM)” in an attempt to cool the planet. James suggests that this will happen within the next 10 years (and likely without public consent).
Article: https://climate.benjames.io/someone-is-going-to-dim-the-sun/
Do you agree?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2030?
5% chance
Will the Sun be eaten by 2030?
1% chance
Will Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?
7% chance
Will a large-scale solar geoengineering project be implemented by 2035?
46% chance
Will things be okay by my lights by 2030?
28% chance
Will the U.S. attempt a large scale Solar Radiation Modification geoengineering project before 2030?
23% chance
Will an abrupt sunlight reduction catastrophe occur before 2100?
10% chance
Will the Sun be eaten by 2040?
6% chance
Will any human fall into the Sun before 2060?
11% chance
Will a human land on the Sun by 2040?
2% chance