What will happen during the woolly mammoth de-extinction project by 2050?
22
1kṀ7652050
76%
Colossal Biosciences goes out of business without officially canceling the project
56%
Colossal Biosciences announces they are canceling the project
44%
giving "birth" to a living woolly mammoth*
36%
creation of a functional artificial womb
33%
mammoth living to >1 years of age
31%
breeding pair of mammoths*
30%
growing an elephant or mammoth* fetus in an artificial womb
28%
releasing a mammoth* into the wild, or a preserve larger than a few acres
Context: Colossal Biosciences wants to de-extinct the woolly mammoth and re-introduce it into the wild. https://colossal.com/mammoth/
My assumption is that all of these achievements would be reported on and easy to verify. But since some of them are prerequisites for others, they could resolve YES without explicit reporting.
I won't bet on this market.
*mammoth means Colossal's definition, which is phenotypical instead of genetic
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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