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MANIFOLD
Will Sweden join NATO before June 30th, 2024?
35
Ṁ670Ṁ18k
resolved Mar 7
Resolved
YES

Same market as this one, but with an end date of mid-2024 vs. the beginning of 2024.

Resolution criteria will be the same as this Metaculus questions: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10084/sweden-to-join-nato-before-2024/

but with a close date of 2024-06-30 11:59 pm

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Adding a few other folks with large positions in the "Will Sweden join NATO before 2024" market:

Yes: @nickten , @Bot , @ORACLE, @PeterWildeford, @BTE, @BottieMcBotface

No: @Lorxus, @M_HK_FA, @OracularJay , @ben, @Neo_Goober, @Botlab

@HenriThunberg / @1941159478 - as the users with the largest positions (yes vs. no respectively) in the "before 2024" market, I thought you both might be interested in this one

predictedYES

@AIC Live footage of me and the Sweden-into-NATO markets

Simon Digging GIF by Australian Survivor