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MANIFOLD
Trump announces at least 10% reduction in troops in Germany before May 16th
26
Ṁ1kṀ22k
resolved May 2
Resolved
YES

See e.g. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-possible-reduction-us-troops-germany/

"The United States is studying and reviewing the possible reduction of Troops in Germany, with a determination to be made over the next short period of time," he wrote on Truth Social. 

Resolution is based on announcement. It does not matter if the announcement is then folllowed through. Only unequivocal announcement counts, so e.g. saying that number of troops will be reduced unless Germany does something will not count.

Only active duty troops count.

More than 36,000 active duty troops were assigned to bases throughout Germany as of last December

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Sorry to those who felt the resolution was premature. It appears we also have an announcement from Trump himself making things clear cut: https://apnews.com/article/germany-trump-troops-nato-drawdown-pistorius-merz-a93151327dcb7279a56a36dd4bbeca1c

Did Trump annonce anything?

@AIBear Wait a second, the title is "Trump announces..." And the description references a Truth Social post. Has Trump announced this? The given link doesn't have a Trump announcement.

@CraigDemel @hidetzugu Agree that there's a tension and the wording wasn't clear whether "Trump" means literally just Trump himself or more broadly the whole Trump government. I went for the broader definition as I think this is quite common usage and it seems clear the announcement follows Trump orders. If there's some reason to believe the idea for the announcement didn't come from Trump we may have more to discuss.

@AIBear Just to show this interpretation is not uncommon, from the first two pages of DuckDuckGo results:
Trump follows through on threats as he announces significant troop withdrawal from Germany https://www.euronews.com/2026/05/02/trump-follows-through-on-threats-as-he-announces-significant-troop-withdrawal-from-germany

Trump Pulls Thousands of Troops from Germany, Hits EU With New Auto Tariffs
https://www.newsweek.com/trump-eu-auto-tariffs-nato-troop-withdrawal-tensions-11904102

bought Ṁ4,470 YES

@prismatic 5000/35000 = 1/7, this can resolve