Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
6
Ṁ1kṀ1.5kNov 2
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market closes no later than the end of election day 2026, or upon Trump announcing that US will pull out of NATO, on news reports from at least one of:
• ABC
• CBS
• NBC
• PBS
• NPR
• CNN
• Fox
• MSNBC
• Associated Press
• New York Times
• Washington Examiner
• Wall Street Journal
• New York Post
• USA Today
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump threaten to pull US out of NATO while at Davos this month?
52% chance
Will the United States officially withdraw from NATO by March 31, 2026?
5% chance
Will a country leave NATO this year?
17% chance
Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028?
29% chance
Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
23% chance
Will the GOP try to pull the U.S. out of NATO by 2027?
23% chance
If Trump wins, will the USA pass legislation to leave NATO by EOY 2026?
12% chance
Will Trump withdraw the US from the USMCA before the end of his second term?
37% chance
Donald Trump attempts to withdraw from NATO
Will Trump pull more than 10 000 troops from Germany before the end of his term?
62% chance