7. Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 10 years) in Israel/Palestine conflict in 2022?
23
160Ṁ923resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ16 | |
2 | Ṁ12 | |
3 | Ṁ10 | |
4 | Ṁ8 | |
5 | Ṁ4 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel come to blows by 2024 year end?
2% chance
Will the Israel - Hamas war spread to another location in 2025?
30% chance
Will the war in Israel/Palestine escalate to World War Three on or before January 1, 2024?
2% chance
Will the 3rd intifada begin in 2024?
5% chance
Will there be riots involving Jewish / Arab citizens in Israel comparable to the 2021 riots as a result of 10/7 attack?
1% chance