7. Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 10 years) in Israel/Palestine conflict in 2022?
23
160Ṁ923resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ16 | |
| 2 | Ṁ12 | |
| 3 | Ṁ10 | |
| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |