Will the US unemployment rate (now 3.7%) be above 5% in November 2023?
Will the US unemployment rate (now 3.7%) be above 5% in November 2023?
21
390Ṁ3891resolved Dec 8
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ168 | |
| 2 | Ṁ50 | |
| 3 | Ṁ26 | |
| 4 | Ṁ21 | |
| 5 | Ṁ21 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
29% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 5.5% in 2025?
18% chance
US unemployment above 5% in 2025?
28% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?
22% chance
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
25% chance
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
11% chance
Between Oct 15 2023 and EOY 2028, will the US unemployment rate be continuously above 8% for at least a year?
27% chance
📈 US unemployment above 4.5% before 2029?
72% chance
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
14% chance
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
25% chance