26. Will the medical establishment reverse course and officially say that any of Vitamin D, HCQ, or ivermectin is actually effective against COVID by the end of 2022?
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703Ṁ6666resolved Feb 1
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From Scott Alexander's COVID predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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predictedYES 2y
This is a question about the medical establishment, not about whether Ivermectin (or Vitamin D) is "actually effective against COVID". And ... neither IVM nor D are effective enough that the medical establishment is going to "reverse course" that quickly. (HCQ actually doesn't work at all.)
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