26. Will the medical establishment reverse course and officially say that any of Vitamin D, HCQ, or ivermectin is actually effective against COVID by the end of 2022?
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From Scott Alexander's COVID predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Scott issues a correction to his previous ivermectin post in today's open thread ( https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/open-thread-227 ) referencing this post ( https://doyourownresearch.substack.com/p/scott-alexander-corrects-error-ivermectin ). Obviously, this has only minimal bearing on what the medical establishment thinks.
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