21. Will Donald Trump make at least one tweet in 2023?
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves positively if the @realdonaldtrump account tweets with Trump's implied approval, even if the tweet was written by an intern. Does not resolve positively if the account is hacked or tweets apparently without Trump's approval.
This is question #21 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here. Market will resolve according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
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YES shares
2,170
1,597
1,029
832
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NO shares
1,371
605
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536
392
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