
Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
14
1kṀ7192030
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as expected
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?
40% chance
Will California independence be voted on in 2026?
15% chance
Will California hold a vote to secede from the U.S.?
20% chance
Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
15% chance
Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?
27% chance
Will any US state secede before 2030?
10% chance
Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (2/3's majority requirement)
32% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
22% chance
Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?
12% chance
Will a Republican win California for President by 2050?
19% chance