Will a Republican win California for President by 2050?
6
90Ṁ265
2050
30%
chance

Resolves YES if a Republican wins California in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Republicans and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

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American politics is as fast-paced as the speed of a car in the game Drift Hunters. While the Democrats are currently leading in California, one wrong policy move could send the Republicans overtaking them. The race to 2050 is still a long one!

@99 nights in the forest, This is an interesting question — California has leaned Democratic for a while, but anything can happen by 2050!

bought Ṁ10 YES

2050 is a long time in the future:

@google doodle baseball What an interesting challenge! It will be fascinating to watch how California's political scene changes in the following decades.

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