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MANIFOLD
Will there be a commercially available LLM-based self-driving system by EoY 2030?
1
Ṁ1kṀ50
2030
32%
chance

Must either be available in a car a normal person could actually buy (<$1M USD), or in a ride-share program a normal person could actually use. Only available in China or some other country is fine.

LLM-based means that the self-driving system relies on a (possibly heavily modified) LLM to make driving decisions. A hybrid system where the LLM makes a subset of driving decisions would qualify.

For this question I'm defining LLM slightly generously - if the driving model itself is capable of reasoning about and responding to general user queries (including those having nothing to do with driving) via text, or is a modified variant of a model which could do so, I'll consider it an LLM.

Please ask clarifying questions!

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