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MANIFOLD
Almost Certainly Free Mana: All Options Resolves to NO Except Last HUMAN Traded Option (you can add answers)
13
Ṁ350Ṁ1.1k
Sep 7
7%
USA beats Brazil 3-2 in a stunning World Cup Final with a 96th minute corner kick
7%
Option 1
7%
Option 2
7%
Option 4
7%
I lost the game
7%
Texas out of beer
7%
click me (ㅅ •᷄ ₃•᷅ )
7%
Pizza
7%
Shenanigans
7%
How much code could a Claude code code if a Claude code could Claude code
7%
Salami
7%
Option 3
7%
the creator will NOT give every trader on this market 1 million mana (don't bet on this if you want the mana)
7%
Bet NO to send me (not @Jack1) 6 mana

This is an independent multiple-choice market where anyone can add answers.

Each option will resolve independently at the market's close based on the following rules:

  • ​YES: Only one single answer option will resolve to YES. This will be the option that has the most recent human trade (buy or sell) timestamp in the transaction history at the time of market close.

  • NO: Every other answer option in the market will resolve to NO.

  • ​The Bot Rule: Trades executed by automated accounts (marked on the UI or API as bot trades) will not be counted when determining the final resolution. Bot activity may influence market prices and probabilities, but it cannot affect which option is crowned the "last human traded option."

​Technical Rules & Tie-Breakers

  • ​The creator will determine the last traded human option using the public transaction ledger/history on Manifold, filtering out any accounts flagged as bots.

  • ​Any option that has never been traded by a human will resolve to NO.

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Ṁ1,000
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Similar market, flipped direction, bots allowed:

opened a Ṁ10 YES at 14% order

Wait a minute, this closes in September?

@4fa yes. The similar market closes sooner on Jul 9.

Similar market, flipped direction, bots allowed: