Resolution criteria

This is an independent multiple-choice market where anyone can add answers. Each option will resolve independently at the market's close based on the following rules:

• YES: Every answer option that is not the last traded option will resolve to YES.

• NO: The single answer option that has the most recent trade (buy or sell) timestamp in the transaction history at the time of market close will resolve to NO.

• The creator will determine the "last traded option" using the public transaction ledger/history on Manifold for this market.

• Any option that has never been traded (has zero transactions) will resolve to YES.

Background

This market functions as a financial coordination game. Since all options except the final traded one resolve to YES, traders are incentivized to buy YES on various options to secure a payout. However, the last person to execute a trade on any option before the market closes will cause that specific option to resolve to NO, resulting in a loss for those holding YES shares in that option. Because the "add answers" mode is set to ANYONE, participants can introduce new options to dynamically shift trading activity.