What will be the lowest cost per dose observed for the R21 malaria vaccine before January 1st, 2026? (currently $3.90)
Mini
6
แน7312026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10%
<$1.50 USD
16%
$1.51-2.00 USD
19%
$2.01-2.50 USD
21%
$2.51-3.00 USD
19%
$3.01-3.50 USD
13%
$3.51-3.90 USD
3%
The current purchase price is $3.90 USD per UNICEF, but sources expect it should decrease over time as production scales.
Resolves on January 1st, 2026. Data from UNICEF, Gavi, the Serum Institute of India (the manufacturer), or the WHO will be used to evaluate purchase prices for the R21 vaccine. If multiple reliable sources are available and provide different numbers, a best effort will be made by the 1Day Sooner team to resolve the difference before averaging the numbers.
1Day Sooner has an R21 Status Report available here that may be useful.
More malaria-related questions can be found on our Manifold account here.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will it be confirmed that >2M doses of the R21 malaria vaccine are delivered in a single month before January 1st, 2025?
59% chance
Will the number of children vaccinated with 3 doses of the R21 malaria vaccine reach 5M before January 1st, 2025?
45% chance
Will the R21 malaria vaccine be distributed in 15 countries before July 1st, 2025?
48% chance
What total number of R21 malaria vaccine doses will be distributed in 2024?
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months?
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months?
How many people will be vaccinated with the R21 vaccine in 2024
Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030?
48% chance
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028?
45% chance
Will Keytruda cost less than $10k per year before 2030?
72% chance