Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES if the shooter who killed at least two people and wounded eight others at Brown University on December 13, 2025 is apprehended by law enforcement before December 31, 2025. Resolution will be based on official statements from Providence Police, the FBI, or Brown University confirming the suspect's arrest or capture. The market resolves NO if the suspect remains at large through the end of 2025.

Background

A shooter dressed in black killed at least two people and wounded eight others at Brown University on Saturday during final exams on the Ivy League campus. The shooting occurred in the Barus & Holley building, a seven-story complex that houses the School of Engineering and the physics department. The suspect is described as a man dressed in black who left the scene on foot, and no weapons have been recovered. An "all hands on deck" manhunt is underway involving local police and university police, FBI and other agencies, with investigators combing through video footage from throughout the area.

Considerations

Brown is an open campus in a residential neighborhood and is not a "walled off, gated campus in any way," which may affect the difficulty of locating the suspect. Many surveillance cameras are around on the college campus, which could aid in identification and apprehension.

• Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the shooter dies before being apprehended, the market will resolve NO, as the suspect would not have been in custody at any point.