On July 7, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on Japanese imports, effective August 1, 2025. This market resolves to 'Yes' if Japan and the U.S. sign a formal trade agreement before August 1, 2025, that alters or eliminates these tariffs. Resolution will be based on official announcements from both governments.
Update 2025-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For confirmation from the Japanese government, the creator has stated a preference for one of the following sources:
A Japanese news outlet reporting on the deal.
A video of Prime Minister Ishiba confirming the deal.
The creator has indicated that Western news sources alone may not be considered sufficient for resolution.
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https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpwq4dljjdko
Trump claims US has reached trade deal. Just need a corroboration from the Japanese side now.
@rg26 yeah well it's still a western news source. Preferably a Japanese news outlet or a video of Ishiba confirming
@105du https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/backstories/4171/ (a report from NHK World, including a video of PM confirming it)