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MANIFOLD
If AI whipes humanity out after 2028: In which year?
1
Ṁ400Ṁ10
2028
15%
2031
6%
2029
6%
2030
6%
2032
6%
2033
6%
2034
6%
2035
6%
2036
6%
2037
6%
2038
6%
2039
6%
2040
6%
2041
6%
2042
6%
2043-2047
6%
Other

This market resolves N/A on Jan 1st, 2028. All trades on this market will be rolled back on Jan 1st, 2028. However, up until that point, any profit or loss you make on this market will be reflected in your current wealth; which means that purely profit-interested traders can make temporary profits on this market, and use them to fund other permanent bets that may be profitable; via correctly anticipating future shifts in prices among people who do bet their beliefs on this important question, buying low from them and selling high to them.

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