Following McCarthy's ousting on October 3rd, the house is now paralyzed and without a speaker. How long will it be until a new speaker is elected?
I've started the counter from the day that McCarthy was ousted. This means that October 3rd is the first day the house was without a speaker, October 4th is the second day without a speaker, ..., October 9th is the 7th day without a speaker, and so on.
If they elect someone on the 10/09 then a full week hasn't passed, so it would be 0 weeks. If they elect someone on 10/10, then a full week has passed, and so it would be 1 week.
I hope that's not too confusing.
As time goes on and Other becomes more popular, I will split out new weeks. I will also extend the closing time as necessary until a new house speaker is elected.
Update 2023-10-19:
People have asked what will happen if the house expands the powers of the speaker pro tempore. I will apply the same criteria as in this market: https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/who-will-be-the-next-speaker-of-the-0b49bf53ad12?r=enpsaw
That is to say, until a speaker is elected the usual way, this market will not resolve.
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