Will Trump be found guilty? / Will Trump’s favorability increase?
37
1kṀ7662resolved Jun 12
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%59%
Guilty / Favorability Decreases
40%
Guilty / Favorability Increases
0.7%
Innocent / Favorability Increases
0.9%
Innocent / Favorability Decreases
What will be the verdict of Trump’s current hush money payment trial?
How will his favorability change immediately after the conclusion of the trial?
This market will close when a verdict is reached and announced.
Favorability will be measured by the first Gallup poll after the trial, or 538 analysis. At that time this market will resolve. Feel free to suggest additional reputable polling/analysis sources I may accept and list here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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