Will Trump be found guilty? / Will Trump’s favorability increase?
37
1kṀ7662resolved Jun 12
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%59%
Guilty / Favorability Decreases
40%
Guilty / Favorability Increases
0.7%
Innocent / Favorability Increases
0.9%
Innocent / Favorability Decreases
What will be the verdict of Trump’s current hush money payment trial?
How will his favorability change immediately after the conclusion of the trial?
This market will close when a verdict is reached and announced.
Favorability will be measured by the first Gallup poll after the trial, or 538 analysis. At that time this market will resolve. Feel free to suggest additional reputable polling/analysis sources I may accept and list here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ184 | |
| 2 | Ṁ155 | |
| 3 | Ṁ126 | |
| 4 | Ṁ124 | |
| 5 | Ṁ102 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump’s approval rating be above 30 at the end of 2025?
96% chance
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
7% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
4% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 70% before his death?
48% chance
If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
13% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 60% before his death?
36% chance
Will Trump be pardoned if found guilty for any of his current indictments?
25% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 50% before his death?
24% chance