
Resolves YES if Starlink, as a separate stock debut with its own ticker symbol, goes public with a valuation above $75 billion before the end of 2023, as reported by major mainstream media sources such as Reuters, Bloomberg, or The Wall Street Journal, and stock market data.
Resolves NO otherwise.
Context: All-in podcast, E110, “2023 Bestie Predictions!”
Chamath Palihapitiya: “[Biggest business deal in 2023.] Easy. Easy. This one is easy, Starlink will go public. SpaceX will cut and paste the cap table. And we will take… It'll be yummy and delicious. My prediction is that the Starlink valuation will be at least half of SpaceX's current private market… $75 billion, it will be phenomenal. I think the reason why is that I think, just in order for Elon to have complete financial flexibility and do what he needs to do (…). This is the simplest and most obvious way for him to do it. It'll give him a ton of more dry powder. Sure. So I think that this is an obvious outcome in 2023.”
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