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MANIFOLD
SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2027
4
Ṁ1kṀ1k
2028
81%
≥$2T
68%
≥$2.5T
58%
≥$3T
46%
≥$4T
30%
≥$5T
19%
≥$7.5T
14%
≥$10T
11%
≥$15T
7%
≥$20T

Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-12-31.

Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing. Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.

Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).

≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.

Sources. Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ). Post-IPO market cap is public daily via standard market data. A single credible report is sufficient to resolve a threshold YES if not contradicted. Analyst estimates do not trigger resolution.

See also:

/Bayesian/spacex-highest-valuation-by-end-of-A8sLdPdhN8 (this market)

/Bayesian/spacex-highest-valuation-by-end-of

/Bayesian/spacex-highest-valuation-by-end-of-tOLZp0UZ0C

/Bayesian/spacex-highest-valuation-by-end-of-l2tUNqpOc2

/Bayesian/spacex-highest-valuation-by-end-of-9g5Olt58uA

/Bayesian/spacex-highest-valuation-by-end-of-cz9qctPs0A

/Bayesian/spacex-highest-valuation-by-end-of-zR9SsNc2sl

/Bayesian/anthropic-highest-valuation-by-end-pqg5Al80tp

/Bayesian/openai-highest-valuation-by-end-of-RzAhzQO6CO

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