Will the IDF do a ground offensive in the Gaza Strip in 2023?
55
497
960
resolved Nov 8
Resolved
YES

Spirit of the question: A ground offensive is a large, coordinated military action intended to assert control over a piece of territory using ground troops. In other words, troops should enter with the intention of staying there, as opposed to passing through ephemerally. Raids, which by nature aren't intended to hold territory, don't count.

Resolution criteria:

If the IDF declares that they have begun a "ground offensive," "ground attack," "land attack," "ground invasion," or an arrangement of these words with an identical meaning, resolves YES. The announcement may come from an IDF Twitter account, in a press release, or in a quote to a news outlet.

If the IDF does not declare a ground offensive explicitly, I will look at international English news outlets. If 4 of the following websites publish an online article saying that Israel has begun a ground offensive, resolves YES:

Otherwise, resolves NO at the end of 2023.

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predicted YES

Shouldn’t this be closed?

predicted YES

@Dm Yes

@Dm No. Only the BBC and NYT have published articles satisfying the resolution criteria, as far as I am aware.

predicted YES

@xyz https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-news-11-8-2023-1d414b19e39fc46a5541d0541a880350

More than 1,400 people have died in Israel since the start of the war, most of them civilians killed by Hamas militants during their incursion. Israel says 32 of its soldiers have been killed in Gaza since the ground offensive began, and Palestinian militants have continued to fire rockets into Israel on a daily basis.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/11/07/israel-hamas-war-news-11-7-2023/6bb57a9a-7d3e-11ee-b5cc-66c30a3bbb91_story.html

Israel’s military says it has killed thousands of Hamas fighters. The Gaza Health Ministry’s death toll does not distinguish between civilians and combatants — and slain fighters not brought to hospitals would not be in its count. Israel also says 30 of its soldiers have been killed in Gaza since the ground offensive began.


bought Ṁ5 of NO

Why is this so high? Biden doesn't want a large-scale invasion of Gaza. Israel doesn't want to face large military losses. Rumors are of a ceasefire.