Will Israel pass the judicial reform bill? | Manifold Markets

closes Dec 31

Will Israel pass the judicial reform bill?

36%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Israeli_judicial_reform

Resolves YES if the Knesset passes a bill in 2023 will allows itself to override all or a subset of Supreme Court decisions by a 61 vote majority, and/or which give the government majority control over the appointment and dismissal of judges.

Close date updated to 2023-12-31 6:59 pm

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They have no need to do this, they can just suspend the election.

@xyz how does this resolve if there is a coup that dissolves the courts and makes the law irrelevant?

@MarkIngraham No

Warning of civil war, Herzog unveils framework for judicial reform; PM rejects it: https://www.timesofisrael.com/a-golden-path-after-weeks-long-effort-president-debuts-overhaul-compromise-offer/amp/

Largest protests yet, half a million people: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-64929563.amp

Netanyahu is being closed in on all sides: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-iran-detente-setback-israel-wake-up-call-us-ties-2023-03-12/

Relevant market:

‘Largest protests yet’: Masses around country rally against curbing of judiciary: https://www.timesofisrael.com/largest-protests-yet-masses-around-country-rally-against-curbing-of-justice-system/amp/

Israeli Lawmakers Move to Rein In Judges as Protests Rock Jerusalem: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/20/world/middleeast/protest-jerusalem-judicial-overhaul.html

Israel’s Netanyahu advances judicial changes despite uproar: https://apnews.com/article/politics-israel-government-united-states-benjamin-netanyahu-5d586384e4eff2b60c4af8e5245fc283

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