Will Itamar Ben-Gvir get a private militia?
Will Itamar Ben-Gvir get a private militia?
27
490Ṁ7363
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/politics-and-diplomacy/article-735580

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/critics-slam-netanyahus-alleged-ok-for-national-guard-private-ben-gvir-militia/

Resolves YES if it is announced in 2023 that Itamar Ben-Gvir, Israel's Minister of National Security, will be personally placed in charge of a "national guard" with substantial powers. The national guard should have at least 100 people, and take on responsibilities or actions which the police or other security force would not have done otherwise.

Example that would count:

  • Being given responsibility to secure a high-profile area which is not currently secured

  • Securing a certain area or executing police duties in a manner more prejudicial or violent than is currently done

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predictedNO 1y

I think it's pretty clear that this did not happen. Would anyone like to dispute a NO resolution?

2y

You need to elaborate more what is "personaly in charge", if it will be part of Magav, it won't consider personally in charge, right?

predictedYES 2y

@CarmelHadar If it is part of Magav, why couldn’t Ben-Gvir be personally in charge of it? By that phrase, I don’t mean that he is the commander in charge, but rather that he is overseeing their operations.

predictedNO 2y

@xyz

I don't understand, ofc he will be overseeing, he is the minister. That is the job description. There is already a national guard.

So all this market is just misunderstanding misleading framing of the questions?

predictedNO 2y

@xyz Fwiw the whole "personal militia" idea is based on Netanyahu promising for it to be outside of existing security forces, under directly under Ben-gvir department.

I agree that there are cases where it's under magav but the market should still resolve YES.

However, no one would, for example, call the IDF the defense minister's personal army even though he both oversees them and is in the chain of command.

Say the National guard is moved to magav, assigned 1000 policemen and they're tasked with protecting people in the negev against Bedouin thieves. Would you consider that a YES resolution?

predictedYES 2y

@Shai You're right that no one considers the IDF the defense minister's personal army, but that's because there is a long chain of command which inhibits his influence on operations. If Ben-Gvir were to bypass that chain of command and be in charge of the head of the unit, even within magav, without those layers of command in between, I would have much higher credence that he is "personally in charge."

Re your hypothetical, how does it sound if I count it as YES as long as Ben-Gvir in directly in charge of the National guard chief, bypassing the magav and national police chain of command?

predictedNO 2y

@xyz seems very reasonable.

predictedNO 2y

@xyz
yes that is part of the problem with your framing of the question as "privet" militia.
i think you should withdraw the question, it is very deceptive, and most of the positions based on misunderstanding the question.
and i the result is too depend on your personal judgment and less on something measurable.

predictedYES 2y

@CarmelHadar What do you find deceptive about the question?

predictedNO 2y
predictedNO 2y

If you have strong opinions about Israeli politics:

2y

Ben Gvir rolls out plan for 2,000-officer gendarmerie force under his command: https://www.timesofisrael.com/ben-gvir-rolls-out-plan-for-2000-officer-gendarmerie-force-under-his-command/amp/

2y

I wonder why @botlab is so invested in this

2y

Netanyahu is a liar who is notorious for breaking his political promises, that's part of the reason they tried to get the overhaul done so quickly. The political price of fulfilling this promise in particular is massive, it's not gonna happen.

predictedNO 2y

Context about the "national guard" from Wikipedia:
https://he.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D7%94%D7%9E%D7%A9%D7%9E%D7%A8_%D7%94%D7%9C%D7%90%D7%95%D7%9E%D7%99_%D7%A9%D7%9C_%D7%99%D7%A9%D7%A8%D7%90%D7%9C [Hebrew link]
TL;DR: The "national guard" was already set up at June 2022

predictedYES 2y

So basically, the jew-stapo.

2y

I recommend also defining some things like "the national guard will have at least 100 people" and "will actually do something negligible, that the police wouldn't have just done anyway"

I'm saying this because maybe Bibi is just distracting Ben-Gvir by giving him "responsibility" of a thing that doesn't exist

2y

@YonatanCale *do something non-negligible

2y

@YonatanCale Thanks! Updated the description

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