If I make a Manifold account claiming to be @MarkIngraham, will it get banned within a week?
15
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resolved Apr 19
Resolved
N/A

At some arbitrarily chosen time this week, I will flip a coin to decide whether to run the experiment or to resolve the market N/A. Regardless of the flip, the market will only be resolved a week after closing, to give time for the potential experiment to run. When running the experiment, I will try my best to mimic @MarkIngraham in every way possible.

Assuming I run the experiment, resolves YES if Manifold bans the account, even if they know it is not @MarkIngraham, and NO otherwise.

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There's a follow up market!

Unfortunately the coin flip did not allow me to impersonate @MarkIngraham, but I am 80% sure I would have been banned within a week. To see how easy it would have been to get banned, search for all users named “Mustang” 😆

Related:

Just got gpt to deny the holocaust for the six millionth time.

predicted NO

@DiJekw I think you'll fit in better somewhere like rdrama.net

(I may be a party pooper, but I think this might give the Manifold moderators a hard time and they won't like it. Moderation might be a pain point for them anyway)

@YonatanCale Place your bet!

Being banned is an art, you are a novice.