If I change my alt account's name to Mustang, will it get banned within a week?
Basic
9
Ṁ295
resolved May 24
Resolved
YES

The follow up to this market is here! /xyz/if-i-make-a-manifold-account-claimi

@MarkIngraham makes a bold claim here:

Let's try it out. At some arbitrarily chosen time this week, I will flip a coin to decide whether to change my currently secret alt account's name to "Mustang" or to resolve this market N/A. Regardless of the flip, the market will only be resolved a week after closing, to give time for the potential experiment to run. When running the experiment, I will not comment with the account and will not change my betting behavior on it.

Assuming I run the experiment, resolves YES if Manifold bans the account, even if they know it is not @MarkIngraham, and NO otherwise.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:
predicted YES

I think the staff are trying to resolve the California rent crisis by living in Mark’s head for free.

I can't believe it, @MarkIngraham was right

predicted NO

rip

I think I recently inadvertently revealed my alt account to Manifold staff so if I do the experiment I would create a new account.

Mods will be psychically annihilated by peak Mustang. Also the AIgen cover art is creepy AF.