By the start of 2026, will a country named Russia be a member of the UN?
26
1kṀ2683Dec 31
96%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolving negatively if Russia is dissolved, united with any other country under any other name, renamed, or not a member of the UN.
I will use the English names of member states of the UN for resolution. If, by then, the United Nations no longer exist, I will resolve negatively.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
28% chance
At any point before the start of 2050, will a country named Siberia (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
15% chance
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
40% chance
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
16% chance
Will there be a New UN Member by (before) 2026
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
4% chance
Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?
7% chance
Will Russia participate in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers?
6% chance
Will Russia join NATO before 2050?
12% chance
When will a new state join United Nations?