By the start of 2026, will a country named Russia be a member of the UN?
22
254
Ṁ1.2kṀ410
2025
91%
chance
1D
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1M
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Resolving negatively if Russia is dissolved, united with any other country under any other name, renamed, or not a member of the UN.
I will use the English names of member states of the UN for resolution. If, by then, the United Nations no longer exist, I will resolve negatively.
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@Yev Good question. Because now the names Russia and Russian Federation are used interchangeably (and indeed that is the first article of the Russian constitution), and I created this market because I wanted to ask if Russia will still exist as a country, I think yes. If there will be a Russian Federation, a Russian Republic or whatever, I will resolve YES.
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