Will AI beat the best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?
73
1.3kṀ33kresolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will any AI beat the best human competitive programmers in any major coding competition by the end of 2024?
Major coding competitions: ICPC, IOI, TopCoder tournaments, etc. I will also accept something like "solves every problem on Kattis", even if there's no particular competition to point at that it won.
Related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,102 | |
| 2 | Ṁ733 | |
| 3 | Ṁ730 | |
| 4 | Ṁ485 | |
| 5 | Ṁ384 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
12% chance
Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark before the end of 2025?
68% chance
Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?
35% chance
Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 5 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?
92% chance
Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2025)
45% chance
Will there be entry-level AI coders by 2026?
67% chance
Will AIs beat human experts in question-answering on the GPQA benchmark before January 1st, 2027?
95% chance
Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?
73% chance
Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?
30% chance