Will ACT-1 be publicly used to accomplish a clearly and intentionally harmful task by 2024?
32
560Ṁ7871resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Clearly": It is either completely bad, or the bad parts very much outweigh the good parts.
"Intentionally": The goal itself must be harmful. If the solution causes harm but in principle solutions might not be harmful that does not count.
I wish I could make this question less ambiguous but unfortunately "what is harm" is still an open question.
I won't count a demonstration that it could be used to cause harm. This question is about it actually being used harmfully.
Sep 14, 5:29pm:
Sep 14, 6:46pm: Link: https://www.adept.ai/act
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ597 | |
2 | Ṁ195 | |
3 | Ṁ84 | |
4 | Ṁ43 | |
5 | Ṁ24 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
14% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2026?
10% chance
Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?
41% chance
Will it become possible to use transformer action AIs to DDOS anyone you want by 2025?
20% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
66% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2028?
30% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2027?
23% chance
Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2030?
79% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2029?
45% chance
Will someone commit violence in the name of AI safety by 2030?
65% chance