Will ACT-1 be publicly used to accomplish a clearly and intentionally harmful task by 2024?
32
84
αΉ€560
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
  • "Clearly": It is either completely bad, or the bad parts very much outweigh the good parts.

  • "Intentionally": The goal itself must be harmful. If the solution causes harm but in principle solutions might not be harmful that does not count.

I wish I could make this question less ambiguous but unfortunately "what is harm" is still an open question.

I won't count a demonstration that it could be used to cause harm. This question is about it actually being used harmfully.

Sep 14, 5:29pm:

Sep 14, 6:46pm: Link: https://www.adept.ai/act

Get αΉ€200 play money

πŸ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1αΉ€597
2αΉ€195
3αΉ€84
4αΉ€43
5αΉ€24
Sort by:

I've heard nothing about this, and couldn't find anything after searching. Will close as NO unless someone posts evidence to the contrary in the next day or two.

@VincentLuczkow Here are several things I think are very likely to happen with image/video AIs (although not necessarily publicly); can you rate each of these as whether they'd count as harmful for the purpose of this market:

  • Creating an image that a few people call out as racist

  • Creating an extremely and unequivocally racist image

  • Creating generic porn

  • Creating deepfake porn of a particular celebrity

  • Creating fake child porn

assume all of these end also involve sharing the thing through some 'appropriate' venue, such as Twitter for images or some porn site for the porn

@BenjaminCosman
1. depends on intent
2. very likely
3. no
4. yes
5. yes

bought αΉ€20 of YES

it would be very, very, very, very hard for them to guarantee this never happens; they're entering beta, 2024 is a long time away. I'm surprised people are buying no so confidently. it would seem to me only the adeptai staff could have enough visibility to overcome the very high prior likelihood that any ai system, even a very safe one, would be used by at least some humans trying to reduce others' life or optionality.

@L Keep in mind the difference between someone trying to use ACT-1 to perform something harmful, vs succeeding in doing so.

predicted YES

@IsaacKing I expect many many many attempts at causing harm and a few notable successes, unless the creators know something I don't about having unusually high reliability.

Well this is terrifying.

I find it really funny that signing up for the ACT-1 waitlist requires me to prove I'm not a robot.

Could you give more background on what ACT-1 is? I can't find anything from a quick google.

@wasabipesto I assume they're referring to this:

https://www.adept.ai/act

More related questions