Short-Term AI #5: By the end of June 2023, will there be a usable AI assistant that interfaces with keyboard and mouse?

Vincent Luczkow

closes Jul 1

AI Technical AI Timelines

48%

chance

ALL

It does not need to only use keyboard and mouse, but that should be a substantial part of its interaction
Not necessarily a physical keyboard and mouse.
Usable: at least some people prefer having it to not having it
Should not be restricted to any particular program (e.g. only usable in the browser)

Sort by:

osmarksbought Ṁ50 of YES

https://www.adept.ai/act

Vincent Luczkow

@osmarks ACT does not currently resolve this, although future more general versions might

Lbought Ṁ10 of YES

@vluzko why not? I feel pretty confident that any limitation you see will be gone by then, but I'm curious what those limitations are

Vincent Luczkow

@L It's browser only (it also hasn't been released yet so unclear if it hits the "usefulness" threshold even for the browser but it seems likely that it will).

Дмитрий Зеленский

@vluzko If you intend to exclude AIs with a browser wrapper (why?), this should be explicitly listed in the resolution criteria. Browsers do normally interact with keyboard and mouse (or their non-physical equivalents).

Jon Simonis predicting NO at 58%

@b575 I think they want something that isn't restricted to the browser. That can interact on a freeform way with the entire desktop environment.

osmarksis predicting YES at 58%

You can run desktop environments in browsers nowadays, although perhaps not ones which a tool based on DOM manipulation can use.

Vincent Luczkow

@b575 Restricted to the browser disqualifies it

Manifold in the WildBot

Short-Term AI #5: By the end of June 2023, will there be a usable AI assistant that interfaces with keyboard and mouse?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition