Will GPT-5 get the Monty Fall problem correct? | Manifold

Will GPT-5 get the Monty Fall problem correct?

19

1kṀ4756

Dec 17

95%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Same resolution conditions as the GPT-4 version: https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-gpt4-get-the-monty-fall-proble?referrer=MatthewBarnett

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What will be true about GPT-5?

How will "GPT 5 Exceeds Expectations" resolve?

-8% 1d3% chance

Will people complain about GPT-5?

+4% 1d99% chance

Will GPT-5 resolve this market?

-48% 1d33% chance

Will I be impressed by GPT-5?

-13% 1d47% chance

Will GPT-5 destroy the world?

Related questions

What will be true about GPT-5?

How will "GPT 5 Exceeds Expectations" resolve?

Will people complain about GPT-5?

Will GPT-5 resolve this market?

Will I be impressed by GPT-5?

Will GPT-5 destroy the world?

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