Will the SF Medical Examiner's office report fewer deaths due to accidental drug overdose in 2025 than in 2024?
2
100Ṁ602026
63%
chance
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The SF Medical Examiners office publishes monthly & annual stats on drug overdoses in San Francisco. Here's the one for 2024, reporting 633 deaths.
This market resolves YES if a similar report for 2025 reports < 633 deaths, else resolves NO.
This market is aimed as a proxy for "Will SF get better?" - I'm interested in brainstorming, or trading on any other proxies for the same q, please reach out to me here or on Twitter if you have any ideas.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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