Will the SCOTUS expect the US government to refund the tariffs?
2
100Ṁ90Jan 1
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
7%
No, because SCOTUS rules them to be constitutional
67%
No, even though SCOTUS ruled them to be unconstitutional
20%
Partially
6%
Yes, entirely or as much as possible
Based on SCOTUS' official ruling in the Learning Resources v. Trump and Trump v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. case.
In case of ambiguity, I will follow the consensus interpretation of authoritative newspapers (NY Times, Bloomberg News, etc.) or resolve N/A if there is not one.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related market regarding the constitutionality instead of the consequences: https://manifold.markets/Mad2live/how-will-the-scotus-rules-on-trumps
People are also trading
Related questions
Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?
79% chance
Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025
51% chance
How will the SCOTUS rules on Trump's tariff policy
Supreme Court vs Trump Tariffs: Constitutional? | Will the outcome be good for markets?
Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day tariffs?
29% chance
Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2025?
42% chance
Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?
43% chance
When will SCOTUS release its Trump tariff case opinion?
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
5% chance
Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the EU before 2026?
67% chance