MANIFOLD
Will the SCOTUS expect the US government to refund the tariffs?
18
Ṁ100Ṁ532
Feb 1
35%
No, because SCOTUS rules them to be constitutional
28%
No, even though SCOTUS ruled them to be unconstitutional
22%
Partially
15%
Yes, entirely or as much as possible

Based on SCOTUS' official ruling in the Learning Resources v. Trump and Trump v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. case.

In case of ambiguity, I will follow the consensus interpretation of authoritative newspapers (NY Times, Bloomberg News, etc.) or resolve N/A if there is not one.

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Trump's Second Term
Tariff
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this leaves out "no, and scotus didn't rule on their constitutionality."

@ZaneMiller I'll extend until they do.

@vee if they don't reach the question in this case, and don't hear another such case until trump leaves, then they'd never reach it

@ZaneMiller then N/A

bought Ṁ10 YES

Related market regarding the constitutionality instead of the consequences: https://manifold.markets/Mad2live/how-will-the-scotus-rules-on-trumps

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