Resolves Yes if Trump does not win Nobel Peace Prize 2025 and openly criticizes the Nobel committee for not awarding the prize to him before this market closes.
Update 2025-10-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will only resolve based on Donald Trump's actions and whether he wins the Nobel Peace Prize. If someone else named Ronald Grump (or any similar name) is awarded the prize, this will not affect the resolution of this market.
Update 2025-10-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the market to resolve Yes, Trump must directly criticize the Nobel committee itself, not just express general frustration about not winning the prize. Complaining about not winning without mentioning the committee is insufficient.
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@vdb
Here's this article getting a little bit into his grumpiness/frustration that he wasn't awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.
@pensiveplatypus I agree that he complained according to this article, but a direct criticism against the nobel committee seems lacking.
@traders I'm inclined to resolve this market to No, as I've not found evidence that Trump criticizes the Nobel committee for not awarding the peace prize to him. Any objections?
@ItsMe On second look, he did say "thank you" to Putin who criticized the committee for not giving it to Trump. I don't know if this would count.
@jcb A separate Nobel Piss Piss Prize is being discussed by our committee. If the motion goes through, a competition will be held where the winner's (very pissful) piss will be mailed to the winner of the Nobel Piss Prize as the prize.