Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [Polymarket]
8
100Ṁ4991
2050
46%
chance

Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-happen-before-gta-vi. Please read the rules there.

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I find it a little a uncivil to make a market that's deliberately misleading like this. And especially to then make a profit on it

@xjp People say Manifold is like a video game. But should the culture be like EVE Online?

@xjp Wasn't my intention to mislead. Added "Please read the rules there" after realizing potential misunderstandings.

@xjp In fact I made this market because the one on polymarket made me laugh.

@xjp Btw, you got some insider info to share on this? https://manifold.markets/jacobk/will-xi-jinping-publicly-express-co

@vdb Okay but you created this market on the day the Polymarket market became very misleading due to GTA6 being delayed, and you didn't spell out the reason it's misleading in the market description. It is funny so I get making it for a laugh but people are actually falling for it (unless they think GTA6 is going to get un-delayed) so from their perspective it probably feels like a nasty trick. One could argue it's good to punish their carelessness but that comes down to the question of what kind of culture Manifold wants to have. I would have written "Please read the rules there, it resolves to 50/50 if neither happens by 2026-07-31" but maybe that would feel like spoiling the joke.

@xjp Bad is sad after hearing what you said. There is one fewer laughing man on the planet.

@vdb Don't fret! It's not a big deal and I believe your good intentions.

@xjp I just wanted to open the discussion about the ethics of misleading markets mainly

@xjp Why don't you stop digressing then?

opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 45% order

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